No change in builder confidence

Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes remains unchanged for August, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) for August. 

The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index gauges builder perceptions of current single-family home sales and sales expectations for the next six months as "good," "fair" or "poor." The survey also asks builders to rate traffic of prospective buyers as "high to very high," "average" or "low to very low." Scores from each component are then used to calculate a seasonally adjusted index where any number over 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor. 

The overall index number for August was 15. Two out of three of the HMI's component indexes posted marginal gains in August. The component gauging current sales conditions gained one point to 16 -- its highest level since March of this year -- and the component gauging traffic of prospect buyers rose one point to 13, following two consecutive months at 12. However, the component gauging sales expectations for the next six months declined two points to 19, partially offsetting a six-point gain from the last month's revised number.

"Builders continue to confront the same major challenges they have seen over the past year, including competition from the large inventory of distressed homes on the market, inaccurate appraisal values and issues with their buyers not being able to sell an existing home or qualify for favorable mortgage rates because of overly tight underwriting requirements," said Bob Nielsen, NAHB’s chairman and a home builder from Reno, Nev. He noted that 41% of respondents to a special questions section of the HMI indicated they had lost sales contracts due to buyers' inability to sell their current homes.

NAHB chief economist David Crowe said: "The uncertain economic climate and concerns about job security are discouraging many potential buyers from exploring a home purchase at this time. While buying conditions are very favorable in terms of prices, interest rates and selection, consumers are worried about what the future will bring, and builders are echoing those sentiments in their responses to the HMI survey."