Remodeling poised for growth
The U.S. home improvement industry is poised for growth, according to a new report released today by the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University.
The report, “A New Decade of Growth for Remodeling,” is the sixth and latest report in the Improving America’s Housing series, published by the Remodeling Futures Program at the Joint Center.
“As both the economy and the housing market stabilize, so too will homeowner improvement spending,” said Abbe Will, a researcher with the Remodeling Futures Program.
According to the report, remodeling expenditures are expected to increase at an average annual rate of 3.5%, below the pace during the housing boom, but sharply recovering from the recent downturn.
Market fundamentals, such as the number of homes in the housing stock, the age of those homes and the income gains of homeowners making improvements, all point to increases in the industry that has seen double-digit decline since its peak in 2007.
“Metropolitan areas with rising house prices, older housing stocks, higher incomes and home values, and a larger share of upscale remodeling expenditures, such as Boston, San Francisco and Los Angeles, are well-positioned for an upturn in remodeling activity,” said Eric Belsky, managing director of the Joint Center.
The report anticipates that in the next five years the majority of remodeling spending will shift from upper-end discretionary projects to replacements and systems upgrades. Further, it points to a number of growth opportunities generated by underinvestment in distressed properties, lower mobility, changing migration patterns and the rise of environmental awareness.
“Lower household mobility following the housing market crash means that in the coming years homeowners will increasingly focus on improvements with longer paybacks, particularly energy-efficient retrofits,” said Kermit Baker, director of the Remodeling Futures Program at the Joint Center. “Also, a slowing of migration to traditionally fast-growing Sunbelt metro areas means that, at least temporarily, more remodeling spending will remain in older, slower-growing areas in the Rustbelt and in California.”